Stock Market Weekly update -Mar 26th

  We closed higher for a 2nd week on the indexes, except for the Small-caps (drag on banks). The Nasdaq100 is back up to a potential resistance level (the prior high on Feb 2nd), tho the S&P500 is still a long way away from that same high, and the Small-caps are near 6 month lows! The Financials headed lower still, approaching the Oct lows (XLF).  The Fed raised rates another .25 points. Failing bank Credit Suisse was rescued by UBS.  First Republic bank (FRC) continued to tumble.

The long term weekly 'downtrend' from the January 2022 high continues in the SPX (weekly 20MA line).  Less  likely now maybe, but this weekly trend could also eventually take us down to the pre-Covid highs of early 2020! The DOW & the Small-caps have already touched that level and rallied back up (see pics below). 

NYA (NYSE composite) & IWM (small-caps): -did not participate in last week's rally.
The Dollar dropped for a 2nd week, as did Interest rates.
Gold was mostly flat, after the big rally.
Oil was up a bit
Bitcoin/Crypto was also flat, after the big rally.

What to Expect in the Markets Next Week - final week of the Quarter.
The charts look somewhat bullish (SPX, NDX), so maybe we get a rally for a 3rd week to close out the quarter.

Pops & Drops:   REGN was up



S&P 500 -Rangebound? Box shows this week's expected range.



DOW -leading up

S&P500

NASDAQ


1/1/23:  Indexes vs Pre-Covid early 2020 highs -the DOW already got there & reversed


Market concerns:   Inflation, Rising Rates, Russia/Ukraine, Banks
Over $31 Trillion in debt!  See Debt Clock on the left, or here... 

New all time highs:  NVO, HSY, REGN, 

Options watch:   S&P 500 Implied Volatility  (CBOE VIX) -popped & dropped! 
ETFs SPY, IWM, QQQ, SQQQ/TQQQ, XLF, XLE,  EEM,  GLD/SLV,

Stocks AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, TSLA, META, MSFT, NVDA...

Next week:      
MTWThuF
Earnings:
, 

Events:


PCE report

This week's charts: 



BTW, Like CS, Citi -never recovered from the 2008 drop



Neither has DB -tho they just rescued CS! 
Too big for Switzerland? Credit Suisse rescue creates bank twice the size of the economy





Links...

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Stock Market Weekly update -Apr 20

Image
  We saw lots of ‘chop’ last week, ending just below where we started, with tariff uncertainty still hanging over the market. The DOW lagged as it dumped on Thursday after UNH reported earnings. Long term rates pulled back a bit while Gold continued to rocket higher, closing near $3326. This week we get more earnings including GOOGL & TSLA,  04/06:  Hedging against losses… How? If you got ahead of the tariff announcement on Monday Mar 31st using an Inverse ETF like SQQQ (SPXS, SOXS, etc) , it was up approximately 30% that week! Note that Leveraged ETFs should only be used for short term trading. This week:   Schwab Weekly Trader's Outlook Edward Jones recap More earnings  This week: 3red week of earnings reports.  The market is still very volatile so caution is advised. The 10 year Interest rate -dropped a bit, now at 4.33% The Dollar - dropped a bit to 99.23 Gold - another big rally to $3326 Oil -rallied to $63.68 Bitcoin/Crypto   -rallied a ...
Read more

Stock Market Weekly update -Nov 24

Image
  The SPX recovered from the prior week drop, moving from 5870 to close on Friday at 5970. The other indexes also rallied, with the DOW closing at the prior all time high from 2 weeks ago. Long term Interest rates stayed mostly flat as the Dollar continued to rally. Gold had a big recovery rally. NVDA reported blowout numbers again, but the stock dropped! TGT tanked after earnings, still dropping since its peak in Aug 2021. WMT popped on earnings to another all time high (a DOW stock rallying like a tech stock since its bottom in May 2022) -this was its 4th earnings pop this year. This will be a short trading week because of the Thanksgiving holiday. This week:   Schwab Weekly Trader's Outlook   Market is closed on Thursday The 10 year Interest rate -flat at 4.4% The Dollar - rallying for 8 weeks now 107.5 Gold - rallied to $2715 Oil -rallied  to 71.10 Bitcoin/Crypto :  - another big rally to around 99.5k! New all time Highs :  WMT, BJ, COST, WFC, JPM,...
Read more

Stock Market Weekly update -Oct 27

Image
We saw a break in the 6 week SPX rally, closing near 5808, as the DOW also dropped & took back the prior 3 weeks of gains! The Nasdaq 100 rallied for yet another week, tho not by much. Semiconductors were mostly flat for the week, while Small-caps saw a big drop like the DOW. Long term Interest rates continued higher. TSLA popped on earnings, IBM, KO, CL dropped.  We’ll probably see some volatility this week with big tech  earnings, and the Jobs report on Fri. This week:   Schwab Weekly Trader's Outlook Monthly Jobs report/ Fri 3rd week of Earnings. The 10 year Interest rate -moved up again 4.23% The Dollar -was up for a 4th week 104.32 Gold - another all time high at $2748 Oil -up a bit 71.70 Bitcoin/Crypto :  - down a bit -around 67k New all time Highs :  PLTR, TMUS, PM, ICE, TTD, NDAQ, MSTR, DFS, CAVA, TXRH, EAT, BAM and more.       ALL time Lows :  – Pops & Drops/5 day movers :,   - Pops DJT (5th week), WU...
Read more