Stock Market Weekly update -Oct 19

October 19, 2025

The market tried to recover from the previous Friday’s big drop but has failed so far, except for the Small-caps. which had a massive rally, but then pulled back down on fears coming from the regional banking sector. The big Banks reported good earnings but the XLF financial sector ETF dropped for a 3rd week (regional bank concerns). AMD hit another all time high. RGTI quantum stock popped then dropped for the week, leaving a long ‘topping tail’ on the weekly chart.

Gold closed at another all time high after rallying for a 9th week, tho we saw a pullback on Friday -could be topping out in this area. Crypto fell for a 2nd week. Oil has been in a downtrend, and fell some more last week. Long term Interest rates pulled back again, and have been in a downtrend since May.

The VIX popped, then dropped on Friday! VIX Futures expire this Wed

-we ‘could’ see a further VIX drop (bullish for the S&P).

Mega Caps Daily chart

-Uptrend

-Downtrend

Crypto

AAPL?

NVDA

TSM?

GOOGL -builish week!

NFLX?

META -dbl top

MSFT?

TSLA?

AVGO?

AMZN -triple top, 6th wk down

BTC -2nd week down

ETH -multiple week downtrend

SOL -downtrend also

The week ahead:

Earnings -2nd week NFLX, TSLA

Gov’t shutdown continues? 4th week

CPI on Friday,

VIX Futures Expiration/Wed

Schwab Weekly Trader's Outlook

Edward Jones recap

The 10 year Interest rate -down a bit to close aaround 4.0%

The Dollar - mostly unchanged at 98.5

Gold - rallied to close around $4250, another weekly all time high!

Oil - dropped again to $57.24, holding under $60!

Bitcoin - dropped to around 107k

New all time Highs: CAT, ALNY, -ALL time Lows: XRX,

Pops & Drops/5 day movers:, Pops:,, Drops:,,

Earnings movers: Pops: – Drops: FAST

% of S&P 500 stocks above the 50 day Moving Average: up from 36% to 44%

This week	Mon	Tue	Wed	Thu	Fri
Earnings	ZION,	NFLX, TXN, KO, MMM, COF, LMT, ISRG,	TSLA, APH, LRCX, CME, IBM, VRT, TMO, LUV, ORLY	INTC, BX, DECK, NEM, FCX, VLO	PG, HCA
Events					CPI

The indexes: Trying to recover from the prior week drop. The caution flag is still out…

SPX SPY - In a weekly uptrend since April, now stalling maybe.

Stocks last week - Semis performed well!

Sectors last week -interesting

Market concerns: Inflation? Debt? Interest rates? Tariffs? Wars? anything…?

Options watch:

High IV (Implied Volatility) stocks -link

High Options volume: (most active link, or here)

SPY, QQQ, IWM, SMH, VIX -also SPX index

Stocks

AAPL, AMZN, GOOGL, META, MSFT, NVDA, NFLX, TSLA...

More charts:

08/24: WMT -possible double top here, with maybe a deeper pullback ahead.

09/14, 10/12 -possibly a multiple top?

10/19 Popped last week on an AI announcement! No more triple-top..

Walmart on Path to Trillion Dollar Status After OpenAI Pact

Gold -continued higher with its 9th weekly climb!

IREN up again last week! 11th week in a row -possibly pausing here with a red bar?

09/28 KMX -Carmax crashing back to 2020 lows!

10/19 Lower for yet another week.

LULU trading at 5.5 year lows

MCD vs WEN!

09/28

S&P 500 Total Percent Returns calendar -Oct>Dec bullish?

Name		Feb 2025	04/27	06/30	09/30
Solana	SOL	192.00	149.30	149.60	227
Chainlink	LINK	18.35	14.48	13.28	22.07
Uniswap	UNI	9.60	5.57	6.98	8.00
Sui	SUI	3.45	3.55	2.77	3.57
Ondo	ONDO	1.32	0.95	0.75	0.92
Avalanche	AVAX	-	-	-