Stock Market Weekly update -Sep 27

 The SPX & Nasdaq rallied for a 2nd week, while the DOW & Small-caps retreated for a 6th week! Long term Interest rates also shot up for the week, along with the US Dollar. Bitcoin & other Crypto also had a nice rally. Gold pulled back for yet another week, as did Oil.  AMD had another big rally week, closing at an all time high, along with AAPL, and  META rallied for a 5th week.  Semis rallied for a 2nd week. MCD dropped to another multi-month low.

The week ahead includes the PCE & Jobs reports -watching Interest rates as well.

Dow jumps more than 470 points Friday; stocks notch winning week despite Treasury yield surge




The week ahead:  JOBS report & PCE


Schwab Weekly Trader's Outlook  

Edward Jones recap


10 year Interest rate - trending up since Feb, up again to 5.18%

US Dollar -  up for a 2nd week to 101.03

Gold - trending down to $4284 

Oil - down for a 2nd week closing at $92.45

Bitcoin  - rallied again to around 84k

National debt  -around $40.20T …also here 

CPI  Rate

 

New all time Highs:  AMD, HPE, NTRA, AVT, IMAX

  -ALL time Lows:   CPB, BYND, 

Pops & Drops/5 day movers:  Pops: MRNA,  ,    Drops:   

Percent of S&P 500 stocks above the 50 day MA:  Dropped again from 28% to 26% -dropping since July



Mon

Tue

Wed

Thu

Fri

Earnings


KMX,  CCL

MU, CALM, CAG, JBL, 

NKE, ACN


Events



PCE


Monthly  JOBS report



The Markets: Big turnaround in the Nasdaq & SPX, after trending down for the prior 5 weeks… The DOW & Small-caps are still in a multi-week downtrend though…

Expected SPX move for the week ahead (based on Options): + -95



SPX  SPY weekly - broke above the weekly downtrend.



Small-caps -trending down for 6 weeks




Interest rate (10yr) - popped higher again for the week, now holding above 5%




Stocks last week - AMD, META had big moves

Also here


Sectors last week  -



Options watch:   High IV (Implied Volatility) stocks -link   

Options Open Interet charts:

High Options volume:  

ETFs

SPY, QQQ, IWM, SMH, VIX -also SPX index

Stocks

Mag7 & others   (most active, or here)


Smaller size Futures contracts:

CME Group to Expand Retail Access to Four Leading Benchmarks with E-nano Equity Index Futures

1-Ounce Gold (1OZ) futures are now trading 24/7  (specs)

More charts/Data:    


Long Term Rates are up almost 10x since 2020!



XLF -Financials have been dropping for 3 weeks




General Mills -approaching GFC levels (2009)!



CPB -The Campbell's Company-all time lows -below 2009!



9/20: Crypto Altcoins:  showing huge  gains recently! (select the 7 day range)



TWST -Twist Bioscience Corp





09/11: link




S&P 500 Total Percent Returns calendar  


Name


Feb 2025

04/27

06/30

01/04/26

03/01


Solana

SOL

192.00

149.30

149.60

134.50

84.00


Chainlink

LINK

18.35

14.48

13.28

13.40

8.80


Uniswap

UNI

9.60

5.57

6.98

5.90

3.75


SUI

SUI

3.45

3.55

2.77

1.70

0.90


ONDO

ONDO

1.32

0.95

0.75

0.44

0.26


Avalanche

AVAX

-

-

-

14.00

9.00


Feb 2025:   5 Cryptos to watch in 2025, 2026

10/12/25:   Added AVAX, 11/23 This recent dip may be a good opportunity to buy/add

02/15/26: Buy the dips here? 06/30/26 -still near recent lows! 

09/06/26 -finally getting some traction


Links...



Top sites


Stocks/News:  

2 key checks for the AI trade and the economy: What to watch this week

What Lies Ahead for Micron (MU) in the Upcoming Fourth Quarter Report?

S&P 500 Profits Are on Track for a Third Straight Quarter of 25%+ Growth.

The 10-year Treasury yield is at its highest in nearly two decades.

History shows financial calamities occur when rates rise rapidly like this: ‘Something always breaks’

Debt-hungry AI companies face increased risk as bond yields spike

New financing rules are about to make buying or selling a condo even more complicated

Commercial Real Estate -Office Delinquency Rates have soared to their highest level in history

Tesla finally moves to electrify trucking

AMD hits $1 trillion market cap for the first time as stock rides 5-day rally


Crypto/Blockchain:    -Global Market Cap: Now around  $2.9 Trillion  

Bitcoin Price Gains 44% for Second-Best Q3 as Ethereum Jumps 71%

Bitcoin ETFs turn positive for 2026 with $2.4 billion weekly inflow, their largest since October

Visa Settled $20B in Stablecoins. Now It’s Running the Blockchain.

SoFi begins stablecoin settlement on Mastercard network for program expected to exceed $25 billion in annualized volume 

Uniswap holds over 99% of Robinhood stock token deposits in DeFi on Robinhood Chain

The number of weekly spot DEX trades on Solana has officially surpassed the NYSE for the first time in history.

Ondo now ranks #1 in both tokenized Treasuries and tokenized stocks & ETFs, per @RWA_xyz:

US Federal Reserve proposes new stablecoin rules

Major UK banks execute world’s first interbank customer transactions using tokenized sterling deposits


Archives ..pre 2020

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